r/CFB • Georgia Bulldogs • /r/CFB Poll Veteran • 18d ago

Analysis AP Ranked Teams vs SOR - 2026 Wk 4

FPI SOR

SOR:Strength of Record rank. Reflects chance that an average Top 25 team would have team's record or better, given the schedule.

FEI SOR

Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents (ELS), the number of losses a team one standard deviation above average would expect to have against the schedule (GLS), and the number of losses an average team would expect to have against the schedule (ALS)

Strength of record ratings (EWD, GWD, AWD) are the difference between a team's schedule strength ratings and its actual losses.

Top 25

AP Rk Team FPI SOR FEI EL SOR FEI GL SOR FEI AL SOR Avg. SOR
1 Texas 1 1 1 1 1.0
2 Georgia 8 6 6 10 7.5
3 Notre Dame 12 9 9 5 8.8
4 Miami 14 13 19 23 17.3
5 Ohio State 30 27 26 31 28.5
6 Indiana 15 12 13 15 13.8
7 Alabama 3 4 2 2 2.8
8 Florida 2 2 3 4 2.8
9 Ole Miss 6 25 8 8 11.8
10 BYU 25 11 15 27 19.5
11 LSU 20 35 16 9 20.0
12 Texas Tech 9 14 18 20 15.3
13 Utah 13 8 7 6 8.5
14 Iowa 5 3 5 7 5.0
15 Oregon 18 36 22 16 23.0
16 Mississippi State 4 5 4 3 4.0
17 Tennessee 35 29 33 40 34.3
18 USC 29 31 35 24 29.8
19 Oklahoma State 32 32 36 36 34.0
20 Houston 44 50 53 48 48.8
21 SMU 37 47 41 33 39.5
22 Boise State 31 32 32 30 31.3
23 UCLA 16 15 20 11 15.5
24 Kentucky 11 24 14 22 17.8
25 Missouri 42 49 43 32 41.5

Top 25 by SOR

AP Rk Team FPI SOR FEI EL SOR FEI GL SOR FEI AL SOR Avg. SOR
1 Texas 1 1 1 1 1.0
7 Alabama 3 4 2 2 2.8
8 Florida 2 2 3 4 2.8
16 Mississippi State 4 5 4 3 4.0
14 Iowa 5 3 5 7 5.0
2 Georgia 8 6 6 10 7.5
13 Utah 13 8 7 6 8.5
3 Notre Dame 12 9 9 5 8.8
-- Duke 10 10 12 13 11.3
9 Ole Miss 6 25 8 8 11.8
-- Cincinnati 19 7 11 12 12.3
6 Indiana 15 12 13 15 13.8
12 Texas Tech 9 14 18 20 15.3
23 UCLA 16 15 20 11 15.5
-- Wisconsin 7 23 10 26 16.5
4 Miami 14 13 19 23 17.3
24 Kentucky 11 24 14 22 17.8
-- Pittsburgh 22 16 21 18 19.3
-- Wake Forest 17 26 17 17 19.3
10 BYU 25 11 15 27 19.5
11 LSU 20 35 16 9 20.0
-- Virginia Tech 23 17 25 21 21.5
-- Nebraska 21 17 24 29 22.8
15 Oregon 18 36 22 16 23.0
-- James Madison 26 17 28 25 24.0
155 Upvotes

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55

u/DerrickWhiteMVP Texas Longhorns 18d ago

I actually need more data to show we’re not trash

33

u/corskier Texas • Southern Oregon 18d ago

I actually need a bit more data to understand just how trash the aggies and sooners are this year. For personal reasons.

17

u/LiveMarionberry3694 Texas Longhorns 18d ago

Brb going to the bathroom with this info

36

u/BrisketInMyPocket Texas Longhorns 18d ago

Eh. It’s college football. Just win baby. Even VY had stinkers. Some Longhorns fans acting real Aggie lately. 

16

u/fattest-fatwa Texas Longhorns • Big 12 18d ago

My memory is that 4-0 Aggie fans are still living in WE ARE NEVER LOSING AGAIN land. 

15

u/BrisketInMyPocket Texas Longhorns 18d ago

This performative humility is silly, any other fanbase would love to be in that spot and non apologetic.

10

u/apathynext Texas Longhorns • Rutgers Scarlet Knights 18d ago

“Texas doesn’t deserve to be #1”

11

u/silverhk Notre Dame Fighting Irish 18d ago

I think you would be very hard-pressed to find anybody who doesn't think Texas deserves to be at the number one right now. Whether or not Texas is actually the best team in the country is much more debatable.

8

u/ATXBeermaker Texas Longhorns • Stanford Cardinal 18d ago

I think you would be very hard-pressed to find anybody who doesn't think Texas deserves to be at the number one right now.

There are literal AP voters who don't think that.

1

u/silverhk Notre Dame Fighting Irish 18d ago

Perfectly fair point, however I think it is fair to believe that a lot of those voters are voting their opinions on how good the team is rather than voting purely on most deserving. College football rankings are always an uncomfortable hybrid of the two.

2

u/ATXBeermaker Texas Longhorns • Stanford Cardinal 18d ago

a lot of those voters are voting their opinions on how good the team is rather than voting purely on most deserving

AP voters, by definition, get to choose what it means to be "deserving" of being ranked #1. If some of them rank not based on resume and instead on their perception of on-field performance or any other factors, that's their prerogative.

And this is all beside the point of what that other guy brought up in terms of tons of people on various platforms calling Texas mediocre because of their offensive struggles.

6

u/Zoratth Texas Longhorns • UC San Diego Tritons 18d ago

Go look at any post about Texas in some of the other college football subs and you’ll see hundreds of comments saying Texas is mid or barely a top 10 team. Georgia might be better, but it’s much easier to look good when you are playing garbage teams each week instead of Ohio State/Tennessee.

2

u/PlantasaurusRex Clemson • South Carolina 18d ago

Ahh the age old “best” vs. “most deserving” argument

-1

u/2th Tennessee • Summertime Lover 18d ago

Data can be manipulated. In no universe should yall have such a high rating when your opponents have been UTSA, Texas State, and us. Your record is 65% cupcake. Your only good matchup has been against Ohio State.

1

u/DerrickWhiteMVP Texas Longhorns 17d ago

Who’s is #1 in your opinion?

-1

u/2th Tennessee • Summertime Lover 17d ago

Honestly, Georgia. But it isn't by much. No school has a really good resume so far. It's all been mostly cupcakes. But I would rank Georgia's cupcakes slightly higher.

4

u/DerrickWhiteMVP Texas Longhorns 17d ago

You would rank Tennessee St., WKU, Arkansas and OU over Texas State, Ohio State, UTSA and Tennessee? Bro, just stop lol.

0

u/2th Tennessee • Summertime Lover 17d ago

We're talking a difference of like 0.1% here. It's also taking into account that y'all have not performed well. You've beaten two cupcakes soundly. You beat Ohio State by 1. You beat us by 3. Meanwhile Georgia has soundly defeated everyone. Gorgia has had a similar schedule AND performed better. That's why they deserve #1. If y'all had done what was expected and wrecked us, you'd deserve it. But after that performance, both teams should have dropped in rankings.

2

u/DerrickWhiteMVP Texas Longhorns 17d ago

Oh, shit. We barely beat the current #5 team in the country. Should’ve scheduled a cupcake instead. You are what’s wrong with college football.

0

u/2th Tennessee • Summertime Lover 17d ago

You are what's wrong with college football. You're too blinded by tribalism to see reality. Y'all played like trash vs us. We played like trash vs y'all. Both teams deserved to go down after those performances. But y'all, being number #1 have more weight to drag you down. Don't want to be called out for performing bad vs a worse team? Then perform as you're supposed to.