Know the facts before you vote. Renown columnist does the interview.

I'd love to see, (totally fantasy), how South Park would do current NZ politics.

I've been imagining the Trump scene where he's in bed with JD Vance.

I'm thinking it could be either Luxom and Seymour, Winston and Seymour or maybe a manage o three.

Any thoughts?

Alabama - Safe Republican

Alaska - Tilt Democratic

Arizona - Likely Republican

Arkansas - Safe Republican

California - Safe Democratic

Colorado - Safe Democratic

Connecticut - Safe Democratic

Delaware - Likely Democratic

Florida - Likely Republican

Georgia - Likely Republican

Hawaii - Safe Democratic

Idaho - Safe Republican

Illinois - Safe Democratic

Indiana - Safe Republican

Iowa - Likely Republican

Kentucky - Safe Republican

Maine - Leans Democratic

Maryland - Safe Democratic

Massachusetts - Safe Democratic

Michigan - Likely Democratic

Minnesota - Safe Democratic

Missouri - Likely Republican

Montana - Safe Republican

Nebraska - Safe Republican

Nevada - Likely Democratic

New Hampshire - Leans Republican

New York - Safe Democratic

North Carolina - Likely Republican

North Dakota - Safe Republican

Ohio - Likely Republican

Oklahoma - Safe Republican

Oregon - Safe Democratic

Pennsylvania - Tilt Republican

Rhode Island - Safe Democratic

South Dakota - Safe Republican

Tennessee - Safe Republican

Texas - Safe Republican

Utah - Safe Republican

Vermont - Safe Democratic

Washington - Safe Democratic

West Virginia - Safe Republican

Wisconsin - Likely Democratic

Wyoming - Safe Republican

Alabama

• AL-01 - Safe Republican
• AL-02 - Leans Republican
• AL-03 - Safe Republican
• AL-04 - Safe Republican
• AL-05 - Safe Republican
• AL-06 - Safe Republican
• AL-07 - Safe Democratic

Alaska

• AK-AL - Safe Republican

Arizona

• AZ-01 - Safe Democratic
• AZ-02 - Tilt Republican
• AZ-03 - Safe Democratic
• AZ-04 - Safe Democratic
• AZ-05 - Safe Republican
• AZ-06 - Likely Democratic
• AZ-07 - Safe Democratic
• AZ-08 - Safe Republican
• AZ-09 - Safe Republican

Arkansas

• AR-01 - Safe Republican
• AR-02 - Safe Republican
• AR-03 - Safe Republican
• AR-04 - Safe Republican

California

• CA-01 - Safe Democratic
• CA-02 - Safe Democratic
• CA-03 - Safe Democratic
• CA-04 - Safe Democratic
• CA-05 - Safe Republican
• CA-06 - Safe Democratic
• CA-07 - Safe Democratic
• CA-08 - Safe Democratic
• CA-09 - Safe Democratic
• CA-10 - Safe Democratic
• CA-11 - Safe Democratic
• CA-12 - Safe Democratic
• CA-13 - Safe Democratic
• CA-14 - Safe Democratic
• CA-15 - Safe Democratic
• CA-16 - Safe Democratic
• CA-17 - Safe Democratic
• CA-18 - Safe Democratic
• CA-19 - Safe Democratic
• CA-20 - Safe Republican
• CA-21 - Safe Democratic
• CA-22 - Safe Democratic
• CA-23 - Safe Republican
• CA-24 - Safe Democratic
• CA-25 - Safe Democratic
• CA-26 - Safe Democratic
• CA-27 - Safe Democratic
• CA-28 - Safe Democratic
• CA-29 - Safe Democratic
• CA-30 - Safe Democratic
• CA-31 - Safe Democratic
• CA-32 - Safe Democratic
• CA-33 - Safe Democratic
• CA-34 - Safe Democratic
• CA-35 - Safe Democratic
• CA-36 - Safe Democratic
• CA-37 - Safe Democratic
• CA-38 - Safe Democratic
• CA-39 - Safe Democratic
• CA-40 - Safe Republican
• CA-41 - Safe Democratic
• CA-42 - Safe Democratic
• CA-43 - Safe Democratic
• CA-44 - Safe Democratic
• CA-45 - Safe Democratic
• CA-46 - Safe Democratic
• CA-47 - Safe Democratic
• CA-48 - Safe Democratic
• CA-49 - Safe Democratic
• CA-50 - Safe Democratic
• CA-51 - Safe Democratic
• CA-52 - Safe Democratic

Colorado

• CO-01 - Safe Democratic
• CO-02 - Safe Democratic
• CO-03 - Tilt Democratic
• CO-04 - Likely Republican
• CO-05 - Leans Republican
• CO-06 - Safe Democratic
• CO-07 - Safe Democratic
• CO-08 - Likely Democratic

Connecticut

• CT-01 - Safe Democratic
• CT-02 - Safe Democratic
• CT-03 - Safe Democratic
• CT-04 - Safe Democratic
• CT-05 - Safe Democratic

Delaware

• DE-AL - Safe Democratic

Florida

• FL-01 - Safe Republican
• FL-02 - Safe Republican
• FL-03 - Safe Republican
• FL-04 - Safe Republican
• FL-05 - Safe Republican
• FL-06 - Safe Republican
• FL-07 - Leans Republican
• FL-08 - Safe Republican
• FL-09 - Leans Republican
• FL-10 - Safe Democratic
• FL-11 - Safe Republican
• FL-12 - Safe Republican
• FL-13 - Likely Republican
• FL-14 - Likely Democratic
• FL-15 - Safe Republican
• FL-16 - Safe Republican
• FL-17 - Safe Republican
• FL-18 - Safe Republican
• FL-19 - Safe Republican
• FL-20 - Safe Democratic
• FL-21 - Safe Republican
• FL-22 - Tilt Democratic
• FL-23 - Safe Democratic
• FL-24 - Safe Democratic
• FL-25 - Likely Democratic
• FL-26 - Safe Republican
• FL-27 - Tilt Democratic
• FL-28 - Safe Republican

Georgia

• GA-01 - Safe Republican
• GA-02 - Safe Democratic
• GA-03 - Safe Republican
• GA-04 - Safe Democratic
• GA-05 - Safe Democratic
• GA-06 - Safe Democratic
• GA-07 - Safe Republican
• GA-08 - Safe Republican
• GA-09 - Safe Republican
• GA-10 - Safe Republican
• GA-11 - Safe Republican
• GA-12 - Safe Republican
• GA-13 - Safe Democratic
• GA-14 - Safe Republican

Hawaii

• HI-01 - Safe Democratic
• HI-02 - Safe Democratic

Idaho

• ID-01 - Safe Republican
• ID-02 - Safe Republican

Illinois

• IL-01 - Safe Democratic
• IL-02 - Safe Democratic
• IL-03 - Safe Democratic
• IL-04 - Safe Democratic
• IL-05 - Safe Democratic
• IL-06 - Safe Democratic
• IL-07 - Safe Democratic
• IL-08 - Safe Democratic
• IL-09 - Safe Democratic
• IL-10 - Safe Democratic
• IL-11 - Safe Democratic
• IL-12 - Safe Republican
• IL-13 - Safe Democratic
• IL-14 - Safe Democratic
• IL-15 - Safe Republican
• IL-16 - Safe Republican
• IL-17 - Safe Democratic

Indiana

• IN-01 - Safe Democratic
• IN-02 - Safe Republican
• IN-03 - Safe Republican
• IN-04 - Safe Republican
• IN-05 - Likely Republican
• IN-06 - Safe Republican
• IN-07 - Safe Democratic
• IN-08 - Safe Republican
• IN-09 - Safe Republican

Iowa

• IA-01 - Safe Democratic
• IA-02 - Tilt Democratic
• IA-03 - Likely Democratic
• IA-04 - Safe Republican

Kansas

• KS-01 - Safe Republican
• KS-02 - Safe Republican
• KS-03 - Safe Democratic
• KS-04 - Safe Republican

Kentucky

• KY-01 - Safe Republican
• KY-02 - Safe Republican
• KY-03 - Safe Democratic
• KY-04 - Safe Republican
• KY-05 - Safe Republican
• KY-06 - Leans Republican

Louisiana

• LA-01 - Safe Republican
• LA-02 - Safe Democratic
• LA-03 - Safe Republican
• LA-04 - Safe Republican
• LA-05 - Safe Republican
• LA-06 - Safe Republican

Maine

• ME-01 - Safe Democratic
• ME-02 - Tilt Democratic

Maryland

• MD-01 - Safe Republican
• MD-02 - Safe Democratic
• MD-03 - Safe Democratic
• MD-04 - Safe Democratic
• MD-05 - Safe Democratic
• MD-06 - Safe Democratic
• MD-07 - Safe Democratic
• MD-08 - Safe Democratic

Massachusetts

• MA-01 - Safe Democratic
• MA-02 - Safe Democratic
• MA-03 - Safe Democratic
• MA-04 - Safe Democratic
• MA-05 - Safe Democratic
• MA-06 - Safe Democratic
• MA-07 - Safe Democratic
• MA-08 - Safe Democratic
• MA-09 - Safe Democratic

Michigan

• MI-01 - Safe Republican
• MI-02 - Safe Republican
• MI-03 - Safe Democratic
• MI-04 - Tilt Democratic
• MI-05 - Safe Republican
• MI-06 - Safe Democratic
• MI-07 - Tilt Democratic
• MI-08 - Safe Democratic
• MI-09 - Safe Republican
• MI-10 - Leans Democratic
• MI-11 - Safe Democratic
• MI-12 - Safe Democratic
• MI-13 - Safe Democratic

Minnesota

• MN-01 - Likely Republican
• MN-02 - Safe Democratic
• MN-03 - Safe Democratic
• MN-04 - Safe Democratic
• MN-05 - Safe Democratic
• MN-06 - Safe Republican
• MN-07 - Safe Republican
• MN-08 - Safe Republican

Mississippi

• MS-01 - Safe Republican
• MS-02 - Safe Democratic
• MS-03 - Safe Republican
• MS-04 - Safe Republican

Missouri

• MO-01 - Safe Democratic
• MO-02 - Likely Republican
• MO-03 - Safe Republican
• MO-04 - Safe Republican
• MO-05 - Safe Democratic
• MO-06 - Safe Republican
• MO-07 - Safe Republican
• MO-08 - Safe Republican

Montana

• MT-01 - Likely Republican
• MT-02 - Safe Republican

Nebraska

• NE-01 - Likely Republican
• NE-02 - Safe Democratic
• NE-03 - Safe Republican

Nevada

• NV-01 - Likely Republican
• NV-02 - Safe Democratic
• NV-03 - Safe Democratic
• NV-04 - Safe Democratic

New Hampshire

• NH-01 - Safe Democratic
• NH-02 - Safe Democratic

New Jersey

• NJ-01 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-02 - Safe Republican
• NJ-03 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-04 - Safe Republican
• NJ-05 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-06 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-07 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-08 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-09 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-10 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-11 - Safe Democratic
• NJ-12 - Safe Democratic

New Mexico

• NM-01 - Safe Democratic
• NM-02 - Safe Democratic
• NM-03 - Safe Democratic

New York

• NY-01 - Safe Republican
• NY-02 - Safe Republican
• NY-03 - Safe Democratic
• NY-04 - Safe Democratic
• NY-05 - Safe Democratic
• NY-06 - Safe Democratic
• NY-07 - Safe Democratic
• NY-08 - Safe Democratic
• NY-09 - Safe Democratic
• NY-10 - Safe Democratic
• NY-11 - Safe Republican
• NY-12 - Safe Democratic
• NY-13 - Safe Democratic
• NY-14 - Safe Democratic
• NY-15 - Safe Democratic
• NY-16 - Safe Democratic
• NY-17 - Leans Democratic
• NY-18 - Safe Democratic
• NY-19 - Safe Democratic
• NY-20 - Safe Democratic
• NY-21 - Likely Republican
• NY-22 - Safe Democratic
• NY-23 - Safe Republican
• NY-24 - Safe Republican
• NY-25 - Safe Democratic
• NY-26 - Safe Democratic

North Carolina

• NC-01 - Leans Democratic
• NC-02 - Safe Democratic
• NC-03 - Safe Republican
• NC-04 - Safe Democratic
• NC-05 - Safe Republican
• NC-06 - Safe Republican
• NC-07 - Safe Republican
• NC-08 - Safe Republican
• NC-09 - Likely Republican
• NC-10 - Safe Republican
• NC-11 - Likely Democratic
• NC-12 - Safe Democratic
• NC-13 - Safe Republican
• NC-14 - Safe Republican

North Dakota

• ND-AL - Safe Republican

Ohio

• OH-01 - Safe Democratic
• OH-02 - Safe Republican
• OH-03 - Safe Democratic
• OH-04 - Safe Republican
• OH-05 - Safe Republican
• OH-06 - Safe Republican
• OH-07 - Likely Democratic
• OH-08 - Safe Republican
• OH-09 - Leans Democratic-
• OH-10 - Safe Republican
• OH-11 - Safe Democratic
• OH-12 - Safe Republican
• OH-13 - Safe Democratic
• OH-14 - Safe Republican
• OH-15 - Likely Republican

Oklahoma

• OK-01 - Safe Republican
• OK-02 - Safe Republican
• OK-03 - Safe Republican
• OK-04 - Safe Republican
• OK-05 - Safe Republican

Oregon

• OR-01 - Safe Democratic
• OR-02 - Safe Republican
• OR-03 - Safe Democratic
• OR-04 - Safe Democratic
• OR-05 - Safe Democratic
• OR-06 - Safe Democratic

Pennsylvania

• PA-01 - Tilt Democratic
• PA-02 - Safe Democratic
• PA-03 - Safe Democratic
• PA-04 - Safe Democratic
• PA-05 - Safe Democratic
• PA-06 - Safe Democratic
• PA-07 - Safe Democratic
• PA-08 - Likely Democratic
• PA-09 - Safe Republican
• PA-10 - Likely Democratic
• PA-11 - Safe Republican
• PA-12 - Safe Democratic
• PA-13 - Safe Republican
• PA-14 - Safe Republican
• PA-15 - Safe Republican
• PA-16 - Safe Republican
• PA-17 - Safe Democratic

Rhode Island

• RI-01 - Safe Democratic
• RI-02 - Safe Democratic

South Carolina

• SC-01 - Leans Republican
• SC-02 - Safe Republican
• SC-03 - Safe Republican
• SC-04 - Safe Republican
• SC-05 - Safe Republican
• SC-06 - Safe Democratic
• SC-07 - Safe Republican

South Dakota

• SD-AL - Safe Republican

Tennessee

• TN-01 - Safe Republican
• TN-02 - Safe Republican
• TN-03 - Safe Republican
• TN-04 - Safe Republican
• TN-05 - Safe Republican
• TN-06 - Safe Republican
• TN-07 - Safe Republican
• TN-08 - Safe Republican
• TN-09 - Safe Republican

Texas

• TX-01 - Safe Republican
• TX-02 - Safe Republican
• TX-03 - Safe Republican
• TX-04 - Safe Republican
• TX-05 - Safe Republican
• TX-06 - Safe Republican
• TX-07 - Safe Democratic
• TX-08 - Safe Republican
• TX-09 - Safe Republican
• TX-10 - Safe Republican
• TX-11 - Safe Republican
• TX-12 - Safe Republican
• TX-13 - Safe Republican
• TX-14 - Safe Republican
• TX-15 - Safe Democratic
• TX-16 - Safe Democratic
• TX-17 - Safe Republican
• TX-18 - Safe Democratic
• TX-19 - Safe Republican
• TX-20 - Safe Democratic
• TX-21 - Safe Republican
• TX-22 - Safe Republican
• TX-23 - Leans Republican
• TX-24 - Safe Republican
• TX-25 - Safe Republican
• TX-26 - Safe Republican
• TX-27 - Safe Republican
• TX-28 - Safe Democratic
• TX-29 - Safe Democratic
• TX-30 - Safe Democratic
• TX-31 - Safe Republican
• TX-32 - Safe Republican
• TX-33 - Safe Democratic
• TX-34 - Safe Democratic
• TX-35 - Leans Democratic
• TX-36 - Safe Republican
• TX-37 - Safe Democratic
• TX-38 - Safe Republican

Utah

• UT-01 - Safe Democratic
• UT-02 - Safe Republican
• UT-03 - Safe Republican
• UT-04 - Safe Republican

Vermont

• VT-AL - Safe Democratic

Virginia

• VA-01 - Tilt Democratic
• VA-02 - Safe Democratic
• VA-03 - Safe Democratic
• VA-04 - Safe Democratic
• VA-05 - Likely Republican
• VA-06 - Safe Republican
• VA-07 - Safe Democratic
• VA-08 - Safe Democratic
• VA-09 - Safe Republican
• VA-10 - Safe Democratic
• VA-11 - Safe Democratic

Washington

• WA-01 - Safe Democratic
• WA-02 - Safe Democratic
• WA-03 - Safe Democratic
• WA-04 - Safe Republican
• WA-05 - Safe Republican
• WA-06 - Safe Democratic
• WA-07 - Safe Democratic
• WA-08 - Safe Democratic
• WA-09 - Safe Democratic
• WA-10 - Safe Democratic

West Virginia

• WV-01 - Safe Republican
• WV-02 - Safe Republican

Wisconsin

• WI-01 - Tilt Democratic
• WI-02 - Safe Democratic
• WI-03 - Likely Democratic
• WI-04 - Safe Democratic
• WI-05 - Safe Republican
• WI-06 - Safe Republican
• WI-07 - Safe Republican
• WI-08 - Safe Republican

Wyoming

• WY-AL - Safe Republican

Hey everyone! 💙

JJ Galvez is running for office in Orange County, California, and he's hoping to livestream his town hall debate tomorrow!

The catch? Instagram requires at least 1,000 followers to go live, and JJ is currently at 947. So close! 🎉

I wanted to share his page with this community because I genuinely enjoy his videos. They're engaging, informative, and fun to watch!

Even if you don't live in his district, you can still check out his campaign, hear what he has to say, and watch his videos.

Here's his Instagram: 👉 https://www.instagram.com/jjgalvez.4u

Thanks for checking him out! 💙

Alabama - Safe Republican

Alaska - Tilt Democratic

Arizona - Leans Democratic

Arkansas - Safe Republican

California - Safe Democratic

Colorado - Safe Democratic

Connecticut - Safe Democratic

Florida - Likely Republican

Georgia - Tilt Democratic

Hawaii - Safe Democratic

Idaho - Safe Republican

Illinois - Safe Democratic

Iowa - Tilt Democratic

Kansas - Leans Republican

Maine - Safe Democratic

Maryland - Safe Democratic

Massachusetts - Safe Democratic

Michigan - Likely Democratic

Minnesota - Safe Democratic

Nebraska - Safe Republican

Nevada - Tilt Republican

New Hampshire - Likely Republican

New Mexico - Safe Democratic

New York - Safe Democratic

Ohio - Tilt Republican

Oklahoma - Safe Republican

Oregon - Likely Democratic

Pennsylvania - Safe Democratic

Rhode Island - Safe Democratic

South Carolina - Safe Republican

South Dakota - Safe Republican

Tennessee - Safe Republican

Texas - Likely Republican

Vermont - Safe Democratic

Wisconsin - Leans Democratic

Wyoming - Safe Republican

• Alabama Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Alaska Class 2 - Likely Democratic
• Arkansas Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Colorado Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• Delaware Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• Florida Class 2 - Likely Republican
• Georgia Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• Idaho Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Illinois Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• Iowa Class 2 - Tilt Democratic
• Kansas Class 2 - Toss-Up
• Kentucky Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Louisiana Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Maine Class 2 - Tilt Democratic
• Massachusetts Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• Michigan Class 2 - Likely Democratic
• Minnesota Class 2 - Likely Democratic
• Mississippi Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Montana Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Nebraska Class 2 - Likely Republican
• New Hampshire Class 2 - Likely Democratic
• New Jersey Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• New Mexico Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• North Carolina Class 2 - Likely Democratic
• Ohio Class 2 - Tilt Democratic
• Oklahoma Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Oregon Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• Rhode Island Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• South Carolina Class 2 - Likely Republican
• South Dakota Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Tennessee Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Texas Class 2 - Leans Democratic
• Virginia Class 2 - Safe Democratic
• West Virginia Class 2 - Safe Republican
• Wyoming Class 2 - Safe Republican

The final installment of The Persuasion Lab is now available.

There is no magic phrase that wins people over. The candidates who reach beyond their party’s base tend to do something more basic: understand the community, talk about problems people actually recognize, and treat trust as something to be earned.

Part 4: Anatomy of a Winning Pitch

Persuasion is slower than outrage—but it may be the only way to build a movement larger than the room we are already in.

[Read the full post]