r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee /r/CFB • Sep 14 '21

Discussion Betting Discussion Thread

Discuss spreads, over/unders, and prop bets for this week's games.

Play /r/CFB Book HERE

Feel free to ask any questions you have about betting in college football, or check out this post explaining how spreads, money lines, and over/under works.

Here are this weeks lines

For more specific reddit CFB betting discussion, visit /r/cfbvegas!

62 Upvotes

88% Upvoted

222 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

17

u/Cathie_Wood_is_Bae Penn State Nittany Lions Sep 14 '21

Hoping to find a 17 line for Ark state and Washington. Really difficult to have much faith in Washington right now

14

u/mostdope28 Michigan Wolverines • Paul Bunyan Trophy Sep 14 '21

Just buy the half point then

7

u/Cathie_Wood_is_Bae Penn State Nittany Lions Sep 14 '21

Buying points is generally a losing strategy. I’m just gonna monitor lines across a few sportsbooks and see if any hit 17 over the next few days.

3

u/BrandPlanner Oklahoma • Kansas State Sep 14 '21

As someone who usually will buy the point, why do you think it’s a losing strategy?

16

u/Cathie_Wood_is_Bae Penn State Nittany Lions Sep 14 '21

Sportsbooks generally up charge the points so you’re paying more in line value than the point is worth.

1

u/Corgi_Koala Ohio State Buckeyes Sep 16 '21

If you push at 17 instead of winning at 17.5 how is it a bad deal?

Your risk is the same for a slightly lower reward. But a win is a win...

6

u/Deaner_3 Missouri Tigers • Big 8 Sep 16 '21

Its a bad deal because there is literally math that says you lose more money in the long run. That being said I buy a half point from time to time hahah

1

u/Corgi_Koala Ohio State Buckeyes Sep 16 '21

I'm not trying to say you're wrong, just trying to educate myself. You have any good links explaining?

4

u/Deaner_3 Missouri Tigers • Big 8 Sep 16 '21

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.actionnetwork.com/education/buying-points/amp

This shows nfl 2018s results buying the half point vs not buying it. I’m the long run you lose more than you would lose not buying (in the long run most of us are losing either way lol). Another way I like to think about it is if the sports books are letting you do it, it probably isn’t going to favor the bettor, it’s going to favor the casino.

2

u/Deaner_3 Missouri Tigers • Big 8 Sep 16 '21

I know that’s nfl not college, but I’m sure it’s the exact same