Monte carlo results

[u/mvpeav]

Since yall have been on this journey with me I figured I would share the results of my Monte carlo simulator! With 1 game left to play Id say it has gone really well hitting ATS over 70% which is fantastic!!

Cant swear that itll last forever but for now the heater feels really good!

Thursday Boise State -6 ❌️ o63❌️ Ohio +14 ✅️ o47.5✅️ Wyoming -7 ✅️ o50.5❌️ ECU +11.5 ✅️ u60.5✅️ Jax St +18.5 ✅️ o55.5 ❌️ Buffalo +18 ✅️ u44.5 ✅️ Cincy +7.5 ✅️ u53.5 ✅️ Miami OH +17.5 ✅️ u39✅️

Friday App State -4.5 ✅️ and u51.5✅️ Wake -17.5❌️ and u51.5✅️ WMU +21 ✅️and o49.5❌️ Auburn -2.5 ✅️and u57.5❌️ GT -4 ✅️ and o54.5 ❌️ CMU +14.5 ✅️u51.5✅️ UNLV -10.5 ✅️and u60.5✅️

Saturday noon Ball State +17.5 ❌️ o48.5❌️ Tennessee -13.5 ✅️o52✅️ FAU/Maryland is a legit push on 14 will not be taking it but o61❌️ Ohio State PK ✅️u47✅️ Tulane -4.5✅️ u46✅️ MSST -14✅️ o60.5❌️ Toledo +10✅️ u48✅️ ODU +24 ✅️ o48.5✅️

Saturday afternoon Marshall +38.5 ✅️u52⚪️ Bama -13.5 ❌️ UVA -13.5✅️ o56.5❌️ UTSA +23.5 ✅️ u58.5❌️ Michigan-34.5 ❌️ o48✅️ UTEP +6 ❌️ u60.5✅️

Saturday night LSU +4.5✅️ o56.5❌️ Ole Miss -32.5 ✅️o60✅️ Eastern Michigan +14❌️ u56.5❌️ Louisiana-10❌️ o48❌️ Georgia Southern -1❌️ o48✅️ Zona -15.5✅️ u54.5✅️ Cal PK✅️ u48.5❌️ CSU +21.5✅️ u52.5❌️ Utah -5✅️ u49❌️

Sunday SC -7 ✅️o51.5❌️ Miami +3✅️ o50.5✅️ Added bonus play of Miami ML ✅️ if you're feeling brave

[u/Ambitious-Excuse700]

Crazy good return, looking forward to week 2. Can't wait to get some more player prop data to help with narrowing down good betting spots there.

[u/mvpeav → u/Ambitious-Excuse700]

Started putting together rosters for each team based on usage rates in week 1, still will be somewhat skewed because of the blowouts that happen early in the season and subbing in backups but it should theoretically be better as the weeks go on and usage rates stabilize!!

Goal is to have sims running tonight and start uploading tomorrow, just waiting on updated SP+ after last night's game