r/Dodgers • Yoshinobu Yamamoto • 1d ago

This Statistical Coincidence Is Beyond Incredible

Post image

I checked the at bats, average, and hits and they match up.

754 Upvotes

73 comments sorted by

355

u/Scruffy11111 Tommy Edman 1d ago

The 2025 Dodgers vs the 2026 Brewers would have been a great series.

105

u/PJCR1916 Alex Vesia 1d ago

Equivalent would probably be the 2025 WS honestly

44

u/FlankTheGrain2913 Player To Be Named Later 1d ago

So what about the 2025 Brewers v. 2026 Dodgers? 🤔

51

u/norrisrw Fernando Valenzuela 1d ago edited 1d ago

Per Baseball Reference:

2025 Brewers --

  • 0 W 4 L
  • 130 PA
  • 119 AB
  • 14 H
  • AVG .118
  • OBP .191

2026 Dodgers --

  • 0 W 4 L
  • 138 PA
  • 124 AB
  • 23 H
  • AVG .185
  • OBP .270

21

u/pargofan Shohei Ohtani 1d ago

JFC.

When I think about this NLCS, I question the Dodger pitching and hitting strategy.

But then I realize it's the same strategy where we swept Milwaukee last year.

Can someone smarter than me, explain why the Brewers crushed the Dodgers this year but then the Dodgers crushed the Brewers last year? When 75-80% of the players are the same players?

17

u/postulate4 Max Muncy 1d ago

The dudes are getting old. In the past few years, they've played more professional baseball than any other team. From early season starts in Korea/Japan to deep playoff runs.

It's incredibly evident that they really need a long break.

1

u/MJ_in_NW_SA 5h ago

Early on (2nd game?) coupla of high pop-ups fell in foul between 3rd base and left field. Deciding runs wound up scoring. Thought at the time spunky collegians woulda caught both while these creaky millionaires couldn't catch either. 'Nuff said. . . .

11

u/Sad-Key6038 1d ago

Health played a factor. And they just wanted it more. 

-2

u/_junior_24 22h ago

We have a terrible manager in Dave Roberts who makes terrible decision and is used to the stats of the team bailing him out. He gets to much credit for doing nothing. The bats have always struggled in the post season but the players make it happen. This series they fell short and you can see the mistakes he made. Not letting de Paula hit. Leaving snell to long he couldn’t like a fire with a dried up long and ashy hands. And no the 2024 World Series wasn’t him it’s always been the players. He’s a great club house presence but not a good manager. He’s a yes man

6

u/OfficiallyJoeBiden Brooklyn Dodgers 1d ago

Maybe next year we will both be OP as fuck & then go 7 games

94

u/Juicydeath1025 Back-2-Back Champs 1d ago edited 1d ago

Wow, they really pulled a "No u" on us.

2

u/sammygirrl525 Kiké Hernández 1d ago

yeah, baseball is healing. you know, bc we ruined it

164

u/lakergeoff8 Back-2-Back Champs 1d ago

Obviously, it sucks to lose. But I’m not going to complain about this. Is there anyone that would rather have these switched, with the Brewers winning last year and us winning this year? I don’t think so. I’ll still take the back-to-back titles.

66

u/inkcannerygirl Vin Scully 1d ago edited 1d ago

Agreed

Best case this year was we threepeat

Otherwise someone who hasn't won for a long time, or ever, gets it, also illustrating that we are not singlehandedly ruining baseball

I'm disappointed but not despondent. Threepeats are hard.

(edit: typo)

18

u/Still-Rope1395 Los Angeles Dodgers 1d ago

Exactly. Ready to call out every hypocrite who claimed we were ruining baseball while we wait on the winner of 28th payroll vs. 30th. Not to mention a Chicago White Sox team that is only a few years removed from the worst record in the modern era.

30

u/WhereUGo_ThereUAre 1d ago

Three World Series titles in 6 years. Let’s shoot for 4 in 8.

1

u/[deleted] 1d ago

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1

u/Dodgers-ModTeam 1d ago

Your post was removed due to trolling.

-5

u/Ok-Acanthaceae-1527 San Francisco Giants? 1d ago

What i said was completely factual.

11

u/heyliberty Kiké Hernández 1d ago

Exactly where I'm at. I'm not mad, I'm a little sad, but in the end if it's not the Dodgers, hopefully it will be a first time winner. Either way, I'd be happy with any of the teams left winning it

3

u/sakeistasty Brent Honeywell 1d ago

Also baseball is hard. The fact that the dodgers can win 3 out of 6 years is remarkable.

14

u/sakray Shobae Chadtani 1d ago

Also I don't think the Brewers last year would have beat the Blue Jays anyways

2

u/SilverBuggie 1d ago

Brewer fanbase is mostly pretty cool and makes losing to them easy to swallow.

Padres/Giants/etc fans have been trying to troll Dodger fans for failing the 3 peat, unaware that it's more of a constant reminder of us having done back2back.

71

u/thegreenlightsaber Alex Vesia 1d ago

It’s like we and the Brewers decided to take turns for the WS. Hopefully it’s our turn again next year.

14

u/LengthObjective2253 Roki Sasaki 1d ago

No need to hope it will

3

u/67-167 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1d ago

Assuming lockout doesn’t last the whole season

1

u/BustedThrowaway22 1d ago

Ya’ll gotta make some changes if you wanna win a World Series again next year. Maybe don’t carry 3 DHs.

22

u/coldbrains Los Angeles Dodgers 1d ago

We had the juice last year, the Brewers had it this year…baseball is really something man

38

u/Consistent_Ad_8656 Butthole Whisperer 1d ago

This hurts but also feels like justice. Sweeping the Brewers last year felt unreal. This feels like payment

16

u/LikeAgaveF Alex Vesia 1d ago

If this is the required payment for a World Series championship, I'll take it.

12

u/Consistent_Aide5548 Teoscar Hernandez 1d ago

Brewers hit 1 hr in 2025

Dodgers hit 1 hr in 2026

d is a backwards b

14

u/[deleted] 1d ago

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2

u/Vee_Zer0 Orel Hershiser 1d ago

Beat me to it

7

u/Deathtrooper50 Will Klein 1d ago

Brewers were studying the film all year long.

7

u/The_Angriest_Guy Vin Scully 1d ago

When I first saw this I brushed it off as bullshit. One of the wildest statistical coincidences I've seen.

6

u/r1c0rtez 2025 World Series Champions 1d ago

So brewers take it to a wild game 7 ???

4

u/AltruisticStomach620 1d ago

Honestly this is pretty neat. Baseball is just full of interesting statistical coincidences.

Was curious and dug into some other stats for both years.

2025 Dodgers SLG .461 vs 2026 Brewers SLG .445

Not too surprising considering baseline power abilities.

2025 Brewers 14 H, BA .118, OBP .191, SLG .193

2026 Dodgers 23 H, BA .185, OBP .270, SLG .250

So at least there was a bit more fight in there vs the Brewers in 2025.

2025 Dodgers 1.00 ERA, 2.14 FIP, 11 BB, 41 K

2026 Brewers 2.25 ERA, 2.88 FIP, 14 BB, 33 K

2026 Dodgers 5.56 ERA, 4.81 FIP, 18 BB, 45 K

2025 Brewers 3.71 ERA, 4.93 FIP, 17 BB, 37 K

So the Dodgers pitching in 2025 was absolutely amazing obviously. But with these 4 teams, the only time ERA was higher than FIP was for the 2026 Dodgers and that does kind of make sense because the Brewers just felt like they had a shit ton of balls not necessarily getting hit hard but just getting through gaps. Now I don't think better luck would have made a difference in the end result but maybe the series at least could have felt a little bit closer most games? Though that would have ended up being even more heartbreaking.

8

u/phantom_metallic Jackie Robinson 1d ago

Yes, a whole ass juxtaposition.

3

u/KindaStableGenius 1d ago

All you can do is give them the hat tip and prepare to return the favor again next year. Hopefully we get a rematch

3

u/BitterBlacksmith463 Will Smith 1d ago

No fucking way. That would be more like a statistical anomaly. Never seen such a thing

5

u/Fidel_Che_VulPerez 1d ago

I doubt that's accurate.. if it is, it's beyond freaky

2

u/BruitNoise Mookie Betts 20h ago edited 20h ago

it's accurate.

But keep in mind.

"Dodgers Swept the Brewers" in 2025

2025: Game 1 was a score of (2 - 1) and Game 3 was (3 - 1)

Our offensive power hasn't really changed from 2025.

A sweep was a sweep but consider that the Dodgers in 2026 would score 1 run on game 1. Then 2 runs on Game 3.

Let's say we had perfect pitching in 2026. Thinking that we can just skirt by to the World Series with 2 games that had a total of 3 runs is bad news. Brewers had 9 runs in their first 2 games.

21 runs vs 11 runs. I don't see any team winning a NLCS or WS with just 2 or 3 runs in each game.

1

u/alvinvin00 Shobae Chadtani 1d ago

not the exact same numbers, but it's pretty close

8

u/TheTempest77 Andy Pages 1d ago

Putting the same average is redundant right? If you have the same at bats and hits, you're guaranteed to have the same average

13

u/jackspencer28 Will Klein 1d ago

https://giphy.com/gifs/l1KVb2dUcmuGG4tby

…but yes, that’s correct

2

u/bigeatsyum Shohei Ohtani 1d ago

Same with obp and at bats if the PA and hits are the same

2

u/CoffeeDefiant4247 Back-2-Back Champs 1d ago

what were the losing stats for both series

2

u/RecommendationNo6308 Los Angeles Dodgers 1d ago

This simulation is starting to exhibit looping errors

1

u/Neptune_Diamond_Rain 1d ago

You gotta be kidding me...

1

u/LearningT0Fly Sandy Koufax 1d ago

Holy shit

1

u/Ill-Check-7262 1d ago

Oh they wil meet each other again ..this won’t the last of it

1

u/JustTheBeerLight Hideo Nomo 1d ago

Lazy script writers.

1

u/[deleted] 1d ago

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1

u/Dodgers-ModTeam 1d ago

Your post was removed due to being a duplicate of a recent post.

Please check the current new/hot threads before posting to avoid duplicates.

1

u/blue2124 2024 World Series Champions 1d ago

Both series are scripted I guess, lol

0

u/[deleted] 1d ago

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1

u/Dodgers-ModTeam 1d ago

Your post was removed due to trolling.

1

u/UnplayableArea Decoy 18h ago

Looking forward to our next regular season series with the Brewers. We switched teams with them this year.

1

u/jinhyun1 Will Smith 6h ago

This series was essentially how the ws felt vs the jays without Yamamoto carrying.

1

u/LARamsJK 2024 WS MVP Freddie Freeman 29m ago

wonder how many LOB

1

u/405freeway Hideo Nomo 1d ago

It's like poetry, it rhymes

1

u/Intelligent_Top_328 1d ago

Props to them. They are gonna pound whoever they play.

0

u/Puzzleheaded_You_735 1d ago

"It's like poetry, they rhyme."

0

u/AccurateEagle3642 1d ago

The owners’ case for a lockout went out the window with this sweep.

0

u/authorMackLandry 1d ago

“Baseball”