r/Tigray • u/WeynayOfTIGRAY • 1d ago

💬 ምይይጥ/discussions TPLF/TDF are going to regain control over all of Tigray!!

here is why:

  1. Tigray's difficult terrain

Tigray's mountainous landscape can make military control difficult, especially outside major towns. Familiarity with the region and local support could help Tigrayan forces remain active even after losing urban centres.

  1. Previous combat experience

TDF forces fought the Ethiopian military during the 2020–2022 war. Their previous experience and established local networks could help them recover from setbacks, although their current strength and readiness are difficult to verify independently.

  1. Unresolved political grievances

Disputed Western Tigray, displacement, and the failure to resolve key issues under the Pretoria Agreement create continuing political tensions. These grievances could sustain support for a campaign to restore territorial control.

4.The alliances could help the TPLF

A. Less political isolation

During the 2020–2022 war, the TPLF faced a coalition that included the federal government, Eritrea and Amhara forces. In 2026, some former enemies of the TPLF have become partners against the federal government. This is a major change in the political landscape.

B. The federal government faces several simultaneous insurgencies

Fano operates in Amhara, while the OLA operates in Oromia. These conflicts place demands on federal security resources beyond Tigray. The existence of multiple fronts could create political and military pressure

7 Upvotes

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8 comments sorted by

7

u/Automatic_Ring_7553 1d ago

It's tigrayan generals leading the ENDF this time my friend.

1

u/WeynayOfTIGRAY 15h ago

but the soliders are not

11

u/tothetopshawty 1d ago

Why does it matter? TPLF hasn’t done shit for Tigray during or after the last war. The people need peace, I’m with whoever brings peace taking over Tigray 

1

u/Disastrous_Nature_91 10h ago

That's a point i raised before here, they could have done something to get people on their side in those times. but they did the opposite.

9

u/Deep_Ground2369 1d ago

But TPF generals know the terrain really welll too, no?

1

u/WeynayOfTIGRAY 15h ago

that's right

2

u/Perfect-Ideal-651 1d ago

People that think the TDF won't take back Tigray and beyond have not learnt a thing from 2021.

1

u/MeasurementOld4985 10h ago

They are supposedly making some advances now around Hawzien I think