r/xkcd • • Apr 04 '11

Probability

http://xkcd.com/881/
251 Upvotes

36 comments sorted by

40

u/binary_search_tree Apr 04 '11

Ah hell...xkcd isn't supposed to stab you in the heart.

13

u/stunt_penguin Apr 04 '11

new hobby.

3

u/Kardlonoc Black Hat Apr 04 '11

Are you sure? XKCD has always been solemn, melodic and bitter sweet.

73

u/bananapeel Apr 04 '11

Hang in there, Randall.

43

u/[deleted] Apr 04 '11

[deleted]

15

u/bananapeel Apr 04 '11

No one knows. Family heath issue.

19

u/derwisch Apr 04 '11

Google for "The median is not the message". These figures look threatening, but the chance to live long is still pretty high.

15

u/[deleted] Apr 04 '11

19

u/jeezfrk Apr 04 '11

I had some of the same graphs to look at, just after I'd married a wife with congestive heart failure... proceeding quickly to stage IV... endstage.

Thankefully.. she's got a heart transplant, but that merely meant a new set of rather horrible curves at first. Now we're riding strong 5 years later though and... for us ...it starts to level out nicely.

I hope you're doing good too, dude.

9

u/Arlieth Apr 04 '11

This is one of the most poignant things I have ever read...

... And the xkcd forum discussion on this strip is one of the most aggravating things I have ever read. Seriously, some people really need to be slapped through the internet.

16

u/[deleted] Apr 04 '11

I often find xkcd unbearably smug. This strip reaches out in a way few have... Awesome, sad and will be used in my statistics lectures.

3

u/Techno_Shaman Apr 05 '11

I recommend reading the earlier XKCD strips. It's a comic about romance, sarcasm, math, and language for a reason. (Emphasis mine.)

20

u/vige Apr 04 '11

This is the first xkcd comic that brought tears into my eyes

3

u/godofpumpkins Apr 05 '11

He wrote a dark fully shaded one a while back that was pretty depressing too. Something about staying up talking to a girl all night and her being with someone else now.

2

u/tian2992 Apr 05 '11

I love that one, I chuckled so hard at the end :')

14

u/aWombat Apr 04 '11

Can someone explain this (I'm confused)?

20

u/benitohoover Apr 04 '11

The first two frames are showing probability of survival at a given number of months.

13

u/aWombat Apr 04 '11

Got that. I just didn't understand the context or the tone. Is he sick? His wife/gf? I saw someone posted about some type of health issues, and I was seeing if that was it, or if anyone had insight to help explain the comic.

18

u/arbuthnot-lane Apr 04 '11

I'm merely guessing here. But cancer is a very likely scenario. With a woman (his wife?) in the strip, and those survival rates, breast cancer sounds quite plausible.
I hope she has a magnificent recovery. I fucking hate cancer.

10

u/kutuzof Apr 04 '11

He stopped updating for a while due to health issues in the family. No one knows more than that.

3

u/benitohoover Apr 04 '11

I see, sadly, I'm no help on that.

5

u/froderick Apr 04 '11

Months? Then why is the X-axis in the first frame labelled years? And why does it say years in the second frame?

3

u/benitohoover Apr 05 '11

Indeed it does say years. I'm pretty sure the point is the same though.

1

u/Kardlonoc Black Hat Apr 04 '11

I am pretty sure those say years....

6

u/jakash Apr 04 '11

This was incredibly solemn and somewhat eerie. I did not expect my Monday morning XKCD fix to begin like this dammit :'(

5

u/InviDoll Apr 04 '11

The alt text punched me in the gut <.<

2

u/[deleted] Apr 04 '11

[deleted]

6

u/KamKonek Apr 04 '11

"My normal approach is useless here, too."

10

u/InviDoll Apr 04 '11

In case some folks don't remember, it's referencing this

4

u/superfly2 Apr 04 '11

Stay Strong

4

u/priscellie Apr 04 '11

Devastating. I'm so sorry that you and your loved ones are going through such pain, Randall, and I hope your family beats the odds!

3

u/inkathebadger Apr 04 '11

Oh fuck... who's chopping onions. goes to get tissues >.>

3

u/V2Blast Cueball Apr 04 '11

:(

3

u/runagate Apr 05 '11

Stephen Jay Gould wrote a great article that is relevant to this. The Median is not the Message

2

u/TMM Apr 04 '11

Jesus

6

u/nasdarovye Apr 04 '11

Dammit Randall, stop cutting onions!

Praying for you, and your family. (Might not be a popular opinion but hopefully it will help.)

-9

u/miyakohouou Apr 05 '11

It won't.

3

u/ColdChemical ... Apr 07 '11

I don't care if this gets downvoted, you're right. I sincerely hope the best for all concerned, but praying will not do anything.

2

u/ModernRonin Apr 04 '11

My friend is going through this right now. (His wife's dad had a recent bout with brain cancer...)

1

u/scofus Apr 05 '11

That has to be about the sweetest, most thought-provoking stick figure drawing ever.

1

u/XWUWTR Apr 06 '11

Anyone else think this comic added a new depth to each of the previous comics?