r/europe • u/razdvatri4 • 12h ago
News Zelenskyy warns 20M Ukrainians could flee to Europe if Russia wins war.
https://www.politico.eu/article/zelenskyy-warns-20m-ukrainians-could-flee-to-europe-if-russia-wins-war121
u/akiv3 6h ago
And who benefits from this? Yes, the far rights in Europe. They become even more powerful! We are not prepared for the consequences.
→ More replies (3)4
773
u/Ainudor Romania 12h ago
honestly I feel for the man. The EU had plenty of chances since the annexation of Crimea to make a move. Instead, last year the self righteous EU and EU states still have businesses there, like Raifeisen, Auchan, Nestle, etc. We are a shameful cheap joke.
213
u/HarryCumpole Finland 11h ago
Worse than this, there is a specific company in Finland that is continuing to sell winter tyre studs to Russia, and is actively circumventing EU sanctions by shipping them via Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, having them assembled into tyres in those countries and then onwards into Russia.
We're talking tens of millions of Euros of business and it's happening in plain sight with the employees being completely aware that this is happening.
98
u/Tiberinvs 🐺🏛️🦅 11h ago
Most countries are doing this, Germany and Italian exports to Kyrgyzstan have exploded over the last few years for example
15
u/Pulga_Atomica 11h ago
Please don't let it be Nokian
25
u/Northernmost1990 10h ago
It's not. Nokian tyres is a billion-euro behemoth; 10 mil is chump change and definitely not worth the bad PR if they were caught doing business with Russia.
22
u/HarryCumpole Finland 10h ago
No. Nokian Tyres divested from Russia when the war of aggression began. Tatneft (a highly integrated Russian industrial entity) took over their factories and produce tyres under the name "(A)Ikon" which is Nokia backwards. Until October 2025, shipments of billions of winter tyre studs went straight to Ikon in St. Petersburg, and are not being shipping to intermediary countries in order to have their customs classification altered through assembly outside of Russia, yet it is all bought and paid for by Tatneft Group.
This corruption goes deeply north (Finns will know this reference) and into the corridors of ministers also. Not sure if I can say more otherwise SUPO might get involved. haha
→ More replies (2)9
79
u/Bicentennial_Douche Finland 12h ago
Nestle is Swiss, not EU. And companies follow money first and foremost.
Yes, western parts will end up in Russia regardless of sanctions. Sanctions will make getting the more difficult and expensive, but it won’t stop them.
30
17
37
u/Ainudor Romania 11h ago
excuse me, forgot Switzerland is on the Moon and not part of a dense network of deals with the EU.
36
u/Bicentennial_Douche Finland 11h ago edited 10h ago
Switzerland is not a EU member state. And I fail to see why you are blaming EU for actions of private corporations. Complain to those companies.
EDIT: dude blocked me. So I’ll reply to his latest pre-block comment here:
“as long as these companies reside and pay taxes in the EU, if you reap the benefits you share the responsability.”
Just about every company in the world resides and pays taxes in the EU in some shape or form. Like it or not, many companies believe that they are not bound by ethics and geopolitical situations. Blame for that lies with those companies.
“ I am sincerely dismayed you might have a right to vote fml.”
I advocate for grinding Russia in to dust and vote accordingly. If you don’t believe me, feel free to check my comment history.
→ More replies (2)16
5
u/Confident_Reporter14 Ireland 10h ago
Merkel has a lot answer for this, and we went ahead and made her stale wannabe leader of the EU…
2
3
2
→ More replies (4)2
u/OkTap4045 Alsace (France) 11h ago
What do you think would have changed? Russia has already seized by force these companies, they just renamed them and nothing has changed.
99
u/TyrusX 11h ago
If Russia wins, this will definitely happen.
22
u/Lazy-Plankton5270 10h ago
Yes and Russia won't stop in Ukraine they'll be emboldened to keep going
→ More replies (8)4
u/Cultural-Newt136 3h ago
If Russia wins, eventually it won't be just the Ukrainian refugees fleeing to Europe. Emboldened Russia will then go after the Baltics, Fins etc..
100
u/Kindly-Standard8025 11h ago
Considering the fate that would await them in that scenario, I wouldn't blame them.
467
u/lucrac200 11h ago edited 10h ago
That's not the problem, tbh.
The bigest issue is that the other tens of millions, with many battle hardened soldiers and holding a grudge on EU abandoning them to the russians, will remain in an Ukraine under Russian control. Our armies would have a major problem today facing a modern Ru army of over 1.5 mil people.
Imagine facing both Ukr & Ru, with war geared economies, millions of soldier trained in modern warefare, making millions of drones every year of all types.
Fuck it, give Ukrainians everything they need and something on top as well. And I don't care if I have to pay higher taxes for that, the alternative is way, way worse.
249
u/Weshtonio 11h ago
That's not the problem, tbh
Haven't you noticed the current political climate? If there's anything that could bring support in this war, it's the fear of immigration.
88
u/lucrac200 11h ago
Ukrainians integrate rather easy and create less issues than other non-european immigrants, in general.
15
u/DispassionateObs 8h ago
There are still many people who oppose it for economic reasons. It puts pressure on housing and healthcare.
→ More replies (1)8
u/lucrac200 8h ago
Unless we are willing to push the Ukrainians back to death or kill them ourselves, we might not have a choice. How do you stop 20 mil people at the border?
70
u/Dh0ine 11h ago
It doesn't matter what kind of people would immigrate into EU if the total figure would be 20 million, it's a catastrophic for any country in Europe.
18
u/lucrac200 9h ago
No, it would be just hard. Not to mention that those 20 mil will not all stop in 1 country. What would be catastrophic would be Ukraine's defeat and absortion (formally or not) by Russia.
19
u/CreamXpert 9h ago
I can tell you we don't have the means to absorb even a fraction of the 20 millions no matter of easy they can integrate. The local population is struggling themselves.
7
u/lucrac200 9h ago
And I can tell you that we're getting old all over EU, our populations are shrinking and for sure we could use 20 mil adaptable, willing to work people and with zero investment in their education.
→ More replies (3)10
19
u/Weshtonio 11h ago
Don't bring rationality in the conversation, it's called scare tactics for a reason. It applies at a different level.
9
u/le_quisto Portugal 11h ago
Well these guys actually have the right skin colour, so they're fine.
This is a satirical comment, but probably a lot of people think like this, unfortunately
9
u/lucrac200 9h ago
Nothing about the skin collor. They just come from a country culturally much closer to the european way of life from many points of view: culture, weather, history, work ethics, traditions, relations, religion, etc. And if you think there are no differences between any random Asian or African countries and Ukraine from those perspectives... i guess you did not travel much.
→ More replies (13)14
u/VladThe1mplyer Romania 9h ago
You say that but a lot of people are buthurt that the Ukrainian refugees who afforded to leave the country at the start of the war are richer than them.
You can still keep hearing those people being jealous that the Ukrainian refugees who fled to Europe had better cars than they did.
Those people don't care how well integrated Ukrainians are and are just looking for excuses to complain.
→ More replies (5)3
u/lucrac200 9h ago
Who knew richer people have more resources and can relocate faster & easier than poor people, am I right? :))
Of course a good no of those who managed to exit Ukraine have some good money. In a country of tens of millions, you can find plenty rich ones.
6
u/Lucifer_606381 10h ago
We have a lot of Ukrainans move into near me in England and it's literally so different other forms of mon EU migration, they apdated instantly, started working right away , caused zero crime or trouble and helped out at the local church , and there was zero cultural clashes.
→ More replies (1)2
u/NoExperience9717 8h ago
There's already something like 5m Ukrainians already abroad. I'd question anyway that 20m would leave. Only way I could see that getting near happening is if EU provides full day one protections, benefits and employment rights like they did for the 5m but even then if the country is at peace then I can't see a third of the country leaving.
6
u/elhareen 4h ago
what are you questioning. in an event of capitulation, the majority of population will abandon the country. not everyone's home of those who left was under the threat of occupation during these years. it doesn't matter what EU provides or doesn't provide, people will just be running for their lives, and this is what this thread is about, not about "population leaves their country despite it being at peace".
2
u/Hminney 4h ago
This. Life under Russian rule is not "the same with a different ruler". Russia wants Ukraine's fertile farms and mineral / fossil fuel resources. These will be gifted to friends of Putin, taken from the Ukrainians who will be given as slaves. When there isn't enough food, it will Ukrainians who starve to death. When a business in Russia wants cheap or free labour, Ukrainians will be transported there regardless of family connections or obligations. I'd fight to the death if this is what I'm fighting for.
12
u/Boter_Jez 10h ago
You are correct. Putin cannot afford to lose this war. His existance and that of Russia depends on this war, he will go all in. Only the Baltic states and Merz are aware of the catastrophic danger that the EU is in, especially now, that the US is not even hiding it anymore, that it's on Putins side.
11
u/FlowWestern212 9h ago
It's a problem for us in Ukraine bc we won't have a country !
9
u/lucrac200 9h ago
I know. The "it's not a problem" comment reffers to Zelensky' statement that 20 mil Ukrainians would become reffugees. I'm not afraid of that. I'm more afraid of what would happen with rest of Ukrainians.
29
u/daskomet 10h ago
Europe didn't abandon Ukraine, the US did, in fact, backstabbed them routinely
29
u/lucrac200 10h ago
I agree, we have not abandoned them. Yet. But see who's creeping out in elections in France and Germany, and what plans they have re Ukraine.
7
u/daskomet 10h ago
that is caused by a whole lot of other stuff, namely a stagnant economy, disregard for immigration/religious attrition in society, high living costs, housing... when the status quo ignores these issues, people start to "protest vote", which can have catastrophic consequences. Also there's always a bit of Russian meddling in this
6
u/lucrac200 10h ago
I don't think it would matter for them much for which excuse the Ukrainians would be abandoned, if those dudes get in power.
3
u/PedanticSatiation Denmark 8h ago
stagnant economy, disregard for immigration/religious attrition in society, high living costs, housing...
And they're going to make every single one of those problems worse.
2
→ More replies (1)4
u/jlandero 10h ago
Europe could have helped Ukraine win this war from the very beginning, whether through greater support or real consequences for Russia. They haven't done so because it suits them to keep the war far from home, and that, that's fucked up.
→ More replies (2)8
u/daskomet 10h ago
Europe did not have that many resources and there were (incomprehensible) red lines that were put simply to avoid nuclear escalation. In the meanwhile Russia crying nuclear wolf every Tuesday did become old fast so there's none of that anymore. The EU is also investing heavily in defence but there's still a long way...
→ More replies (2)18
u/Cleru_as_Kylar_Stern 11h ago
Ukrainian Soilders are more likely to be Guirillas and fight for indipendence than join Russia, even if Russia wins.
28
u/lucrac200 11h ago
In the begining, yes. Then filtration, treason, killing will have their impact and the resistence will slowly die out. See the occupied regions, partisans activities are limited to information and blowing out a russian officer every few months.
→ More replies (4)3
u/anontoaskdumbthings 11h ago
Which is even worse because they will rehome a good portion of the population to Siberia only to move in ethnic Russians.
3
u/AlternativeTiger685 9h ago
I’m starting to think this is exactly the scenario they’re trying to create. When Ukraine starts gaining ground, someone helps Russia stay afloat. When Russia comes under pressure, the balance shifts again. At the same time right wing populists are gaining support across Europe and the gap between rich and poor keeps growing. We’ve seen similar conditions before World War II.
In both Russia and Ukraine a new generation is growing up being taught to defend their homeland against enemies. The US is creating chaos that it seems to believe it can control. And maybe a new war will be timed to coincide with the economic crisis in the US that has been building up for years.→ More replies (103)4
u/orthoxerox Russia shall be free 3h ago
Other tens of millions? 20 million is approximately the number of Ukrainians still remaining in Ukraine.
I think around 2 million more would flee to the EU, the rest would remain.
2
120
u/Nattekat The Netherlands 12h ago
If you think about this statement for just a little bit, you realise how freakingly strong it actually is.
→ More replies (6)
37
u/TraditionalClub6337 11h ago
And it will happen if Russia wins. Those people ain't going to stay in Ukraine, good luck at trying to keep them out fences won't be enough.
→ More replies (5)2
37
u/sibachian 11h ago
lol. this is so perfect. the right wingers screaming we shouldn't give ukraine the money he asked for the other day; and he telling them too bad, i guess you'll have to accept 20 million immigrants instead.
→ More replies (1)4
u/Rainer_Wahnsinn_80 10h ago
Dann gibt es mehr Flüchtlinge und die Rechten bekommen noch mehr Stimmen. Für die macht die Beendigung der Ukraine Hilfe durchaus Sinn.
3
46
u/Intro-Nimbus 12h ago
Well played, that should give the pro-russians something to consider. Sure Le Pen, you may cut aid to Ukraine, but they know where to go if they lose.
16
u/spectralcolors12 United States of America 9h ago
They don’t care. Nothing the far right loves more than a refugee crisis
18
u/Interesting-Dream863 11h ago
Sounds good for the guys using immigrants to pay lower salaries all around
20
17
58
18
u/Working_Use2500 10h ago
The guy was right three years ago. They’re fighting the war for us too. Should’ve given them way more.
80
11h ago
[removed] — view removed comment
62
21
u/Econ_Orc Denmark 10h ago edited 3h ago
43% of refugees in Denmark is currently working. 58% of the Ukrainians picked from that statistic is working. (76.5% of the population has a job). If you add that the Ukrainians barely registers in the crime statistics, but over 10% of the immigrants from North Africa and the Middle East that has gained citizenship since 2015 has been convicted of a crime.
Yeah sure. Ukraine is preferable as a refugee, but I will keep supporting their freedom fight against Russia. Better they stay in Ukraine to defend their nation and I will gladly fund both these world peace initiatives.
Russian loss in Ukraine is the best thing for european security. Otherwise we will just sit on thorns waiting for the next country to be invaded.
→ More replies (2)→ More replies (18)4
11
u/DefInnit 8h ago
Russians excited to move into the homes of 20 million Ukrainians, take over all their super fertile land, and completely Russify the place, while watching Europe deal with all the Ukrainian refugees.
Zelensky could end up motivating the Russians, too.
→ More replies (1)
3
u/j_j-j_jr_shabadoo 9h ago
Ironic that so many anti-immigrant politicians are staunchly pro-Putin. I hope that this concept makes it into their voter's brains somehow.
35
u/veetilk 11h ago
i have been told all this time that ukrainian refugees only bolster the economy on average
24
u/mikatovish 11h ago
And usually does mate, but one thing is a regular migratory flow and another is a very large group of people fleeing a last stand , which we are far from it.
Its quite logical that a good number of people from here will flee and not die here, in case we ultimately get overrun
10
u/BINGODINGODONG Denmark 10h ago
No country in Europe has the infrastructure nor ressources to absorb such an influx of people. It is hard enough as it is with people from MENAP countries, even when considering Ukrainians are much more easily assimilated.
It would mean housing problems in every European country. Skyrocketing food prices. Need for more policing the first 5-10 years due to no jobs = higher crime.
It would take decades to fully absurd those people. It has nothing to do with Ukrainians. It’s just the consequences of moving that many people into another country.
→ More replies (2)8
5
u/GovernmentBig2749 Croatian/Albanian/Jewish Pole from MK in Poland 2h ago
I had a Ukrainian crew as workers/contractors in my apartment, precise and quality work force.
6
u/No_Aesthetic Portugal 11h ago
That's true, but Europeans don't like to hear it.
If playing on their sympathies doesn't work, why not on their irrational fears?
5
u/Far_Advertising1005 9h ago
20 million additional consumers and workers may be great for the economy but for the average person that’s just a skyrocketed COL and immensely strained services
8
u/zeroG420 5h ago
There's a difference between a few million and twenty. Don't be obtuse.
2
u/veetilk 4h ago
A few is actually 5.5 million at least in Europe. And 20 million, being a bit more than half of the country population, can be actually less in reality. Don't be rude
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (11)2
u/European2002 Lazio 11h ago
Yeah we are not able to integrate 20 million people like this, not even christian europeans like the ukranians
→ More replies (4)
6
u/North_Affect_8167 1h ago
Probably EU would welcome them as cheap labor. It is not like EU is not in the market for imported workers from India or Nepal.
→ More replies (1)
19
u/imnotokayandthatso-k Austria 11h ago
So the EU gets free diversified immigration from people who are willing to take less for jobs and keep the pyramid scheme alive?
Methinks dude doesn't know the implications of what he said. Bloodhounds like Merz are probably gleefully aware of this.
→ More replies (11)
4
u/fatbreadslut 1h ago
this statement is actually very smart move by zelensky, because he's trying to pull the far-right anti-immigration parties, which oppose supporting ukraine and are also gaining support all across europe, to his side by waving the scary migration boogeyman in front of them if they don't help.
11
8
u/Haunting_Switch3463 Scania 10h ago
Considering the birthrates around Europe, it might not be a bad thing.
→ More replies (3)
2
2
7h ago
[deleted]
3
u/Darth_Memer_1916 Ireland 6h ago
We were all so supportive of Ukrainians when the war started, but the Internet told us to hate them and now millions do.
8
u/Reyeux 10h ago
Wait doesn't Ukraine currently have a population of only 20 million if you exclude occupied territories and refugees that already fled? The entire population will be fleeing?
→ More replies (6)5
u/GroupGeneral6811 10h ago
It's about 27 last I seen something about it. Old people that are settled will not move, not mentioning some people supporting Russia.
→ More replies (8)
5
u/Ok-General-4148 9h ago
We dont have to worry bout that happening since Ukraine is winning according to biden and Boris
4
4
4
u/Bruggenmeister 8h ago
Already alot here in belgium, also kids in my kids classes. Teachers already working overtime to translate lessons
4
u/FlowWestern212 9h ago
Ukrainians are not numbers, but people with actual identities. Most Ukrainians don't want to leave Ukraine, some in the comments sound like it's about demographics. It's about personal life, tragedies and lack of a choice
4
u/citizen42069101 8h ago
This is meant to stoke support because Europe already has issues with refugees. The overarching effects are very human.
What moves the levers of capital is not.
→ More replies (2)3
u/halwahahn 8h ago
Really?? Then why did millions of Ukrainians flee from
Occupied territories in the east? Why should the remaining Ukrainians in the west not do the same if russians were to invade the rest of the country? Ukrainians know well what russians will do when they gain the upper hand. They have 400 years of terror under russian rule to go by.→ More replies (1)2
10
u/anders_hansson Sweden 12h ago edited 11h ago
That's obviously hyperbole. The current Ukrainian population is likely less than 30 million people. He's basically saying that every Ukrainian will leave Ukraine. That's not a realistic scenario (has it ever happened before - even under the most terrible of conditions in any country?).
However, many speculate that once the war is over (regardless of how it ends) millions of Ukrainian men will leave the country to join their families abroad who have started new lives there.
11
u/baturik128 Ukraine 11h ago
The most realistic take here. People in Europe underestimate the amount of people who are currently living in Ukraine "with their travel bags packed". Regardless of the outcome, millions will leave as soon as possible, as it happened with 18-22 years olds
→ More replies (6)-3
u/_skylark 11h ago
If Russia takes over they will conscript any men remaining in Ukraine and fortify their army to continue the war they’ve been preparing against the rest of Europe.
10
u/anders_hansson Sweden 11h ago
Give me one example of a country where the entire population left the country due to war.
→ More replies (3)→ More replies (1)1
u/Fer4yn 11h ago
Russia has been preparing a war against the rest of Europe? Dafaq? Since when? They've even been struggling with Ukraine alone, lol.
→ More replies (3)
3
u/Environmental_Ice_80 10h ago
to get invaded 30 years later from a "bigger Russia "
"- Is everyone here stupid?"
"- Here? Everyone."
XD
5
u/Odd-Look-7537 11h ago
Genuine question are there even 20m Ukrainians left in Ukraine at this point?
→ More replies (1)2
3
2
u/Excellent_Gur7054 10h ago
Noone is wining this war tbh, it needs to get settled as it will in future sooner the better, and normal life can run again in Ukraine and alot of Ukrainian refuges should return to Ukraine after war has ended.
→ More replies (30)
2
2
-2
u/FrustratedHumor 11h ago
They're white tho so most people won't bat an eye
18
u/LaunchTransient The Netherlands 10h ago
Oh they will. It seems like people are quick to forget how, prior to Brexit, Poles were a detested demographic in the UK. After the 2016 referendum there was a spike in anti-Pole rhetoric, including notable incidents where bricks were thrown through a Polish bakery's window and a school receiving flyers with the words "Go home Polish scum" and "No more Polish vermin".
The racists will always find a reason to hate.
→ More replies (1)17
u/Famoustractordriver Romania 10h ago
Sure, because Eastern Europeans have been loved and cherished everywhere throughout the continent...
→ More replies (1)36
u/Professional-Fee-488 11h ago
Not white but of the same culture, values and work habits as most of the rest of Europe, easy and willing to assimilate. E.g pretty sure none of the ex Yugoslavia countries would mind having Ukrainians as migrants, similar mentality plus they're pretty much all suffering from brain drain and low birth rates.
26
u/HungryCurrency8481 9h ago
The idea that Ukrainians have less in common with Russians than they do with the Dutch is hilarious. Also the idea that the ex Yugoslav countries are welcoming of other ethnic groups. I'm crying laughing at the delusion of this comment.
→ More replies (3)2
u/GELATOSOURDIESEL Czechia 6h ago
Where did he say that 'Ukranians have less incommon with Russians than they do with the Dutch'?
5
u/Excellent-Menu-8784 8h ago
Where do you live? Because that’s not exactly the prevailing sentiment in Germany, least of all on work habits.
→ More replies (5)2
u/morentg 10h ago
I's ok but in critical numbers it'll be devastating to social cohesion in the country. In Poland there's a lot, and I've met a lot, some integrate, others stick to their own and don't bother learning polish above minimum required to work. I's not bad but doubling or tripling population would most certainly hand next elections to far right. There's only so much a single country can manage. It encoragues forming enclaves and parallel society that detatches itself from host country bringing instability, especially with old amimosities still not ammended, and easily exploited by more underhanded politicans on bosth sides.
→ More replies (1)2
→ More replies (17)5
u/mehdir_94 9h ago
Wdym not white lol, they were a viking trade hub, a mix of Rus vikings and slavs
→ More replies (3)4
u/Professional-Fee-488 9h ago
Context clues my man, not white = not because they're white.
→ More replies (1)4
u/BigBucketOfAcid 5h ago
That's not how Europeans see the matter. Frankly, everyone who isn't local is annoying and the larger they are in numbers, the more annoying they become. 20M Ukrainians would annoy everyone in every country.
10
8
u/FlowWestern212 9h ago
Fr? Are you 15 years old and have no clue about European hierarchies
→ More replies (4)3
u/SeparatedI Sweden 5h ago
Either that or a yank. Just ask brits what they thought of poles 30 years ago
5
u/Dubiisek 6h ago
Are you American by any chance?
There's a sentiment against Ukrainian refugees in most EU countries to a degree because we are experiencing a wave of populism.
3
u/BigBucketOfAcid 5h ago
It has nothing to do with populism. It's just a natural human reaction that if a large foreign ethic group moves into your area you start getting annoyed. If it was 20M Australians it wouldn't be any better.
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (1)2
u/FrustratedHumor 6h ago
Nope from the UK, just don't listen to the bs about invasions of immigrants etc etc
→ More replies (5)3
u/Oleleplop 6h ago
funny when we know one of the "main argument" of the Brexit
→ More replies (1)2
u/TrainedExplains 5h ago
And most people in younger generations were very much against brexit.
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (10)2
2
u/HotEntrepreneur6828 5h ago
Seems like an odd thing for the leader of the country that's supposed to be winning the war to say.
→ More replies (1)
0
u/gameplayer55055 8h ago
Oh no, highly educated youth that can work for pennies in Europe, therefore smoothing the demographic aging problem?
→ More replies (2)2
2.3k
u/[deleted] 12h ago
[removed] — view removed comment