r/fcs • South Dakota State • Minnesota • 18d ago

Analysis [OC] BCS style rankings and Bracketology | Week 5

The BCS system for rankings combined in equal parts the media poll, coaches poll, and multiple compuer rankings, which provides a good consolidated ranking. For computer rankings this post uses a composite of the r/FCS sportsbook computer ratings, Massey ratings, and Sagarin ratings.

RANK TEAM CHANGE MEDIA COACHES COMPUTER POINTS
1 Montana State - #1 #1 #2 74
2 South Dakota State - #2 #2 #1 73
3 Montana +6 #3 #4 #8 63
3 Stephen F Austin +2 #7 #5 #3 63
5 North Dakota +1 #5 #7 #4 62
6 Tarleton State -2 #4 #3 #10 61
7 Youngstown State +5 #8 #10 #6 54
8 Lehigh -1 #6 #6 #13 53
8 Austin Peay +2 #11 #9 #5 53
10 Tennessee Tech +1 #9 #8 #11 50
10 Illinois State -7 #10 #11 #7 50
12 Idaho State +2 #12 #14 #12 40
12 South Dakota -4 #13 #16 #9 40
14 Lamar +3 #14 #13 #16 35
15 SC State - #15 #12 #20 31
16 Northern Arizona +2 #19 #19 #17 23
17 UC Davis -4 #16 #15 #25 22
17 West Florida +3 #17 #18 #21 22
19 Harvard - #20 #22 #15 21
20 Southern Illinois +1 #21 #25 #14 18
21 Mercer NR #23 #21 #18 16
22 Colgate NR #22 #20 #22 14
23 Richmond +2 #24 #17 11
24 Campbell NR #18 #24 10
25 Jackson State NR #25 #23 #24 6

Bracketology

These rankings can be used to create bracketology- the projected playoff bracket based on the current landscape of the FCS.

The bracket is available in image form in the comments.

14 Upvotes

14 comments sorted by

7

u/Adamscottd South Dakota State • Minnesota 18d ago edited 18d ago

12

u/sernameistakentry Idaho State • Oregon State 18d ago

I think it would be utterly hilarious if an Ivy team came to Idaho State. The difference from the elitist northeast might put them in a coma.

9

u/BellacosePlayer South Dakota State • Sickos 18d ago

fuck man, I'm from west river SD and going to see my rural Idaho relatives gives even me Deliverance vibes.

3

u/somebodysbuddy Lehigh Mountain Hawks • Marching Band 18d ago

Richmond is Patriot, either there's 3 making it or they don't get in via autobid.

3

u/Adamscottd South Dakota State • Minnesota 18d ago

Whoops, good catch. That was supposed to be Campbell. It's fixed now

3

u/I_like_race_cars Tarleton State Texans 18d ago

#JUSTICEFORWESTFLORIDA

4

u/DeKam34 Montana State • Western Wash… 18d ago

This got me down a rabbit hole of looking through computer stuff. We dropped 35 spots in Sagarin rankings (for all D1 not just FCS) from before the CCSU game to today. We went from being the highest non-P4 to spot 90. I understand the CCSU game was bad, but man computers absolutely DESPISE us for that one. It's the kind of thing that if we are who we think we are just evens out over the course of a season anyway but it's even dropped us behind Youngstown right now and I really really don't see it. Sagarin also has Austin Peay as the 4th best FCS team and Tarleton as the 12th which is a unique perspective.

Massey on the other hand looks a lot more like a traditional FCS poll would (I understand it's not a poll, just describing the computer output here). MSU, SDSU, Montana, UND, SFA, Tarleton. Massey seems to like the Big Sky more, Sagarin seems to not completely respect the Big Sky but adores the MVFC.

The r/FCS sportsbook has some serious headscratchers and I feel more confused for having looked at it.

9

u/No_Bite_7238 Montana State Bobcats 18d ago

SFA cannot be happy to be on Montana State's side of the Bracket.

10

u/tdpdcpa Lehigh Mountain Hawks • Patriot 18d ago

It's either Montana State or South Dakota State; basically 6 of one, half dozen of another.

0

u/[deleted] 18d ago

[deleted]

1

u/damnyoutuesday Montana State • Minnesota 18d ago

We haven't?

1

u/OkPie1119 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 16d ago

We don’t want to talk about it 😂

3

u/knook Montana State Bobcats • Big Sky 18d ago

I knew I hated computers!

5

u/I_like_race_cars Tarleton State Texans 18d ago

1

u/ChaoticMushroom37 UC Davis Aggies • Mountain West 17d ago

i dont like this bracket