Thought I could make this back somehow but it’s impossible in today’s market.. Instead, it’s game over for me… bankruptcy is knocking on my door..

It's over.

lost it all on options because for some reason i thought i was the main character and could make easy money.

spotted in front of the NYSE

What does everybody think?

Looks like the lows have hit similar to what was hit when PPI was announced. Wondering how this will play out on Monday when the US market reopens.

Sadly decided to try and purchase the dip on a 4 levered ETF tracking semis. Feeling like a slap in the face. Investment is down 18% in matter of hours 😆

I'm 33, and have a really bad day trading problem for over 4 years and lost over 100K trying to win. I thought I could try to make some money back and completely failed. No strategy, just buying garbage stocks blind, 0DTE's you name it.

I was able to make 30K profit, then lost it all and then 13K of my own money. I do not know what to do, I am so numb, I don't have any savings.

I luckily make 10K a month after tax wth my job that I am thankful for, but I am so embarrassed with myself as I have no investments or savings at 33.

It's funny because I know I should just buy VOO and a few other index funds, but I keep fucking up.

I just don't know how to move forward and rebuild from here

Time to indulge in another vice to take mind off for a week or so before coming back to the casino - where does wsb like to go ? Pattaya / Medellin / Angeles City / Eastern Europe?

Taking care of my port.

I can finally give up fully. Thanks for playing.

Leveraged datacenter stocks, if curious.

Finally sold the AMD I bought last June. The SOXL is a daytrade, playing a bounce off early capitulation selling.

Long story short, I think the market has genuinely cracked under the macro pressure. Not going to open any equity longs for a while.

To the mods - happy to verify the P&L via video or brokerage statements. Also would humbly request a dark blue flair with one word - Wizard. That would mean a lot to me.

Finally, be grateful for whatever the market gives you - whether that be money or a lesson in mental discipline. I've been given plenty of both.

Earnings come out on the 27th, this quarter we did see bitcoin rally back up a decent amount as well as investor day releasing soon to come products. They want to introduce weekend trading although economic factors are causing down pressure as well as Kalshi being sued and certain NBA contracts being restricted from being published.

Context: investment professional currently working in a pension plan. 15+ years working exp, in equity trading, credit research, RE and Alts.

How do institutional managers work: as far you rise in the corporate ladder, managers have more macro views and less company specific views. I hear senior managers extremely worried about inflation, treasury yields and consumer spending. They spend 0 time around going through earnings calls of specific companies.

Current feeling at Investment Committee level: you often hear them repeat cliche phrases such as "AI is real" and "this is a multiyear cycle", but they have little data to no data or insights into why this is or the economics of building and leasing a data center. They really bought into the AI anywhere between late 25' or 26', and never really 100% convinced.

My current read on whats happening: Mid july (I think that was the timming when the HF blowed up) everyone freaked out. True, the war resumed and inflation started to permiate. All of a sudden rate hikes were the market consensus. Also, the long end started to rise as well, more to do with issuance (gov and private) as well as higher growth perspectives. IC takes all this inputs and ask each team to "reduce risk". Well guess were most "risk" is....

Views for the AI trade: fundamentals continue to improve, we are obviously 2-3 years into the capex cycle. There is a huge disconnect from price action to all leading indicators (for me most importante probably compute price and ASML guidance as they are the fist step in the suppy chain). I will bet my house the hyperscalers are minumum 2-3 years out from slowing their investments. Dont forget this companies can invest probably $150bn from FCF alone, plus all are pretty lean in terms of leverage. Also, from their standpoint if they are left behind they will become the Yahoo/Netscape of the AI era.

The best case: The war eases, oil comes down, inflation expectations come down and the market erases all rate hikes expected for the next 12 months. Market rallies fast and furious.

The "reallistic" worst case: The war drags allong for a year or who knows... eventually oil at 100 becomes our status quo. AI names continue to grow quarter after quarter, no slowdown on the capex cycle. Eventually market catches up and market rallies in a more slow and steady manner. Before you say, "but higher rates might make the buildout undoable" I will tell you this: data center yields are at 10-12% currently, you put debt at 8% and its still a great return for the equity. First of all, are you a fucking bear?

Second, and more seriously... Sure, Coreweave or more levered players might struggle to raise debt, maybe they slow down, but there are ton on players who will not have a hiccup in this scenario. Also, don't forget that is the more infra layer of the stack. Chips, memory, energy and other related player have absolutely no issue with higher yields. Many of them are swimming in cash and are have no debt. Also, margins of 80%.

My only true worry is a paradigm shift at the model level that suddenly makes all current compute enough for the demand. But to this point, the AI labs are the most interested to achieve something like this and at the same time, the ones that have the best insight into this, and they keep on commiting to new compute capacity contracts.

TSLA going +5% premarket after a flying cars demo is 100% proof the market is more regarded than you.

And you’re sitting there with your Google spreadsheet, a DCF model, and your “but the P/E is 70” take, getting violently clapped by a literal hover-sofa.

The key to making gains in this casino is to stop pretending everyone else knows shit. The guy on the other side of your trade is not a glowing, omniscient hedge fund god running a quantum AGI LLM you don’t have access to.

Next time you see flying cars, do not open a 14-tab market analysis, and do not summon your inner Warren Buffett. Think like your toddler would. Your toddler would buy calls.

Hope this makes you feel better.

no words needed

Newbie doing weekly options. Felt like all my moves went the wrong way. I feel like I lost everything and don't know what to do. Let's hope things are positive next time and I finally get play smart and right.

Worst decision was options trading, I started September, I was already losing trading shares, then I switch it options to make it all make back, but It made it worse. I bought pltr puts then it hit an all time high.

“At the Federal Reserve, we made very clear that we would deliver price stability, and we removed a dose of accommodation about a month ago,” Warsh said. “I don’t prejudge meetings. I don’t believe in saying now what I might do at the meetings that we have in the balance of this year.”